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Luo Zhiheng, Yuekai Securities: It is expected that the monetary policy will be further strengthened in 2025, or the RRR will be lowered or the interest rate will be reduced by 0.5 percentage points respectively. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11 to 12. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist and dean of the research institute of Yuekai Securities, believes that overall, the tone of the meeting is more positive, and positive signals are released in terms of work objectives, policy tone and task deployment next year, which is conducive to strengthening and consolidating the momentum of sustained economic recovery next year. It is still a high probability that China's economy will achieve a growth rate of around 5% next year, as long as we implement greater fiscal and monetary policies, ensure that the policies work in the same direction, and promote a series of institutional reforms that restrict development. Luo Zhiheng predicts that in 2025, the monetary policy will be further strengthened, and the RRR and interest rate will be lowered by 0.5 percentage points respectively throughout the year; Rhythm or more advanced. In addition, the monetary policy toolbox will be further enriched and improved. On the one hand, it will adjust and optimize the policy tools such as refinancing of affordable housing, "convenient exchange of securities, funds and insurance companies" and stock repurchase and refinancing, which will be implemented and achieved practical results; On the other hand, we may appropriately narrow the width of the interest rate corridor and guide the money market interest rate to run smoothly around the policy interest rate center.Guangzhou Metro won the Asian Games Avenue plot in Panyu District, Guangzhou with a reserve price of 1,183.96 million yuan. According to the website of Guangzhou Public Resource Trading Center, on December 13th, Guangzhou Metro Group Co., Ltd. won the Asian Games Avenue plot BD0210116 in Panyu District, Guangzhou, Guangdong Province with a reserve price of 1,183.96 million yuan. According to the transfer documents, the plot is planned to be a second-class residential land, a primary and secondary school land and a commercial land compatible with roads and transportation facilities; The parcel area is 99,936.54 square meters, of which the leased parcel area is 85,151.63 square meters, and the calculated floor area ratio is 118,396 square meters.CICC: It is expected that the central bank will further set up other new monetary instruments in the future. CICC said that on the basis of Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party, the policy objectives and directions of the Central Economic Work Conference have been further stated. For next year's economic goals, after "maintaining stable economic growth", the meeting proposed to "maintain overall stability in employment and prices" and pointed out that "we should pay attention to target guidance and strive to achieve an optimal combination of stable growth, stable employment and reasonable price recovery". In terms of monetary policy, CICC believes that this meeting clearly pointed out that "timely RRR cuts and interest rate cuts". It is expected that in order to meet the government bond issuance, credit supply and seasonal liquidity demand, the RRR cut may be implemented before the Spring Festival, and the interest rate cut may also be gradually promoted with the Fed's interest rate cut. CICC also judged that in the past period, the central bank has established new monetary instruments such as treasury bonds trading tools, securities fund insurance company exchange facilities, and affordable housing refinancing, and its ability to play a role in the stock, bond, real estate and other markets has been strengthened, and other new instruments may be further established in the future. (SSE)

Outlook of Consumer Industry of Minyin Securities in 2025: The expansion of domestic demand grasps the opportunity of differentiation and change. Minyin Securities released a report on the outlook of consumer industry in 2025, saying that consumer demand is generally weak in 2024, and price factors also restrict growth. Looking forward to China's consumer industry in 2025: (1) Consumption plays a leading role and expanding domestic demand is in a more priority position. The variety and scale of trade-in of consumer goods are expected to continue to expand, and local governments will also introduce new policies to promote consumption in light of local conditions. (2) Rational consumption is more differentiated, and consumers pay for quality-price ratio and spiritual experience. The performance of Tou International Consumer Goods Company in China is also characterized by differentiation. Most of them recognize the long-term value of the China market. Despite short-term challenges, they plan to focus on strengthening localization and continue to invest in the China market. (3) When Trump comes to power, consumption will face greater challenges, and it will require higher global supply chain integration ability, diversified layout and localization ability. It is suggested to grasp the main line of domestic demand expansion, including dairy products with expected improvement at the bottom, outdoor sectors with high prosperity and tidal play sectors. If the demand recovers as scheduled, the catering/sports shoes and clothing/chain retail industry in a period of change will be flexible. In terms of export chain, it is necessary to observe whether the risk of trade friction is fully priced. In the medium term, the overseas market is vast, and the key to success is the added value and bargaining power of products, the matching degree between overseas demand and overseas supply chain, and the global diversified layout.Australia's S&P/ASX 200 index closed down 0.4% to 8,296 points.Singapore iron ore futures fell 2.4%, almost erasing the gains this week.

Tesla Customer Service responded to the declaration of Cyberpickup truck in the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology: If it can be listed in China in the future, it will be known to all. On December 11th, Tesla Cybertruck electric pickup truck completed the declaration of automobile energy consumption measurement in the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology. However, on the 11th, the latest data on the China automobile energy consumption inquiry page of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology showed that the energy consumption calculation declaration of Tesla Cybertruck electric pickup truck was also invalid on December 11th. Tesla staff responded that the policy of Cyberpickup driving in China is favorable at present, but it cannot be achieved for the time being. If it can be listed in the China market in the future, the official will announce it on the whole network.Bank of Indonesia: It intervened "quite boldly" when the Indonesian rupiah fell. As the Indonesian rupiah hit a four-month low and approached the key level of 16,000 rupiah to the dollar, the Indonesian central bank intervened more actively in the market on Friday. Edi Susianto, executive director of the Monetary and Asset Securities Management Department of the Bank of Indonesia, said by SMS that in order to maintain market confidence, the central bank entered the spot, domestic non-deliverable forwards (NDF) and national debt markets. The Indonesian rupiah fell 0.4% to 15,994 to the dollar in early trading on Friday, the weakest intraday level since August 8, and the worst weekly performance since mid-November.Vista Jiajie: The development of cloud computing and digitalization in Asia-Pacific IT distribution is accelerating. According to the research report of CLSA, Vista Jiajie, as the eighth largest IT distributor in the world and the second largest IT distributor in China, has benefited from the rapid growth of cloud computing and the digitalization development in Southeast Asia, and has a good market position. The company occupies a dominant position in the ICT industry in the Asia-Pacific region, especially in Southeast Asia and China, with obvious demographic advantages and huge growth potential. Vista Jiajie is Starlink's preferred partner in ASEAN. The global cloud computing market is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 18.6% from 2023 to 2027. Vista Jiajie has an optimistic prospect in the fields of cloud computing and artificial intelligence.